Future Shock by Alvin TofflerThis book is still in print!
To me, thats pretty amazing. It seems that many readers would rather look at someones views about our now or near now, plus or minus, written four decades ago, than opening their eyes and looking for themselves.
If I still had the book, I might be tempted to see what these old views of our now could have been that seem so ... prescient?
But I dont have it, got rid of it to make shelf space.
I admit that I only think I ever read the book. Someone below left an outraged comment about that - as if, had I rated the book a 5 instead of a 3, and written an effusive review, it would have made earth-shaking difference. Not my ratings/reviews! Oh well.
At any rate, the cover of my edition said something about run-away best seller. And it was, iirc.
Its funny how books about the future are always so popular, even though everyone knows, if they think about it, that no one, including authors of said books, has a crystal ball. And without that little appliance its pretty hard to see into the future with much accuracy.
I suspect that if one could comb through all the future-looking books written in past decades, it might be found that the very few which exhibited pretty remarkable prescience would have been books that, when they were published, created either hardly a ripple, or else a backlash (see below **).
Mostly we like visions of the future which are quite like our own wishes for both our own, and societys, future. But human wishes have a rather poor record of being fulfilled.
I took a quick look through the book before giving it away (to BetterWorldBooks). Toffler talks about such things as people traveling more (sure he was right about that), economists being the same as always (another bingo), technology having either unforeseen consequences (right again) or very specific predicted consequences (not so good, those predictions) - lots of things like that.
Missing are things about the triumph of Mega-capitalism, the existential threat of global warming, a world whose ecosystems are on the point of collapse, a population which is overwhelming the capacity of the earth to support it - little things like that.
** Actually a lot of those were pretty much nailed by The Limits to Growth. But while that book did create a small stir when it was published just a couple years after Tofflers, it was mostly a lot of scoffing.
So goes the future prediction industry. Not one to invest in, as far as Im concerned. After all, we seem to have enough trouble deciding what happened in the past.
Future Shock by Alvin Toffler
He looked at media and technology of , thought about where it was going and painted a bleak future. He coined the term "information overload," and painted a picture of people who were isolated and depressed, cut off from human intimacy by a relentless fire hose of messages and data barraging us relentlessly. The future he was looking at in is now. But we are not isolated by it. And when the information overloads us, most people are still wise enough to use the power of the 'Off' button to gain some peace, or perhaps they take a beach walk or tend their gardens. We have personal filters. We can opt out, block, mute, unfollow, go private or simply sign off.
Toffler, Alvin - Future Shock. Comments on FUTURE SHOCK C. P. Snow: " Remarkable No one ought to have the nerve to pontificate on our present worri.
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Look Inside. Apr 25, Minutes Buy. Jun 12, ISBN Apr 25, ISBN Apr 25, Minutes. Since the mids, Alvin and Heidi Toffler have predicted the far-reaching impact of emerging technological, economic, and social developments on our businesses, governments, families, and daily lives.
Up to 1, sat. Posting Komentar. Toffler argued that society is undergoing an enormous structural change, a revolution from an industrial society to a "super-industrial society". This change overwhelms people. He believed the accelerated rate of technological and social change left people disconnected and suffering from "shattering stress and disorientation"future shocked.